Elections have been announced for 37 seats of Rajya Sabha. Voting is to be held on March 16 and the results of the election are also to be declared on the same day. Out of these, 12 seats are currently with NDA and the remaining 25 are with the opposition. While on one hand BJP has a chance to increase its seats, on the other hand it is going to be a big challenge to win over the alliance partners. The states where elections are to be held for Rajya Sabha seats include Maharashtra, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh and Telangana.
Equation regarding Rajya Sabha elections in Bihar
5 Rajya Sabha seats are falling vacant in Bihar. Here NDA has 202 MLAs, whereas 205 MLAs are required for victory. 41 votes are required for one seat. Grand alliance has 35 MLAs. If 5 MLAs of AIMIM and 1 MLA of BSP come with the Grand Alliance, then the opposition can win one seat. However, there is also news that NDA can make a dent in the opposition parties.
Talking about the formula of NDA, 2 BJP, 2 JDU, 1 ally can be given, but the question is who among the allies is ready to be sent to Rajya Sabha. In this, LJP (R) is ahead, but HAM and Rashtriya Lok Morcha are also contenders. That means the real challenge is not the opposition, but seat distribution.
What will be the formula in Maharashtra?
Talking about the equation of Maharashtra, 7 seats are becoming vacant here. 37 votes are required for one seat in the 288-member assembly. Mahayuti has 235 MLAs and will win 6 seats comfortably, but Shiv Sena (Shinde) wants 2 seats. BJP is looking at 3+1 (RPI) formula.
Election formulas of Tamil Nadu, Bengal and Odisha
6 seats are becoming vacant in Tamil Nadu. DMK can easily get 4 seats. AIADMK will save 1 seat. Contest on one seat is possible. 5 Rajya Sabha seats are falling vacant in West Bengal. TMC can save its 4 seats. BJP is eyeing one seat. There will be 4 seats vacant from Odisha, out of which 2 are with BJP and 2 with BJD. In the current equation, BJP can win 3 seats. BJD is likely to get only 1 seat.
NDA can be beneficial
Elections are to be held on 2-2 Rajya Sabha seats of Haryana, Chhattisgarh and Telangana. At present BJP and Congress have 1 seat each in Haryana. In Chhattisgarh, both the parties are likely to get one seat each. Both Rajya Sabha seats in Telangana can go to Congress. Two out of three seats in Assam will go to BJP’s account. There will be a contest between Congress and AIUDF on the third seat. A Rajya Sabha seat from Himachal Pradesh may go in favor of Congress. Overall, NDA may gain 2-3 seats. India alliance may lose 3-4 seats. BJP’s seats may increase from 9 to 12. Congress may also gain 4-5 seats.
