Oil marketing companies under pressure as peak earnings meet rising geopolitical tail risks

Petrol had held up better until last week, with Investec estimating marketing margins at 7 a litre. However, petrol forms a smaller share of OMCs’ volumes. Rising crude means petrol cracks are swinging violently, and with a lack of pricing levers at the pump to protect downside, the math is set to change. Petrol margins may well have compressed this week, dragging overall margins down further. Every $1 per barrel rise in crude above $70 could compress marketing margins by 0.55 a litre, according to JM Financial.

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